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AI Timelines and Points of no return
The final Point of no return may happen before superintelligence.
Oct 19, 2025
•
Gabe
23
25
4
"Default Trajectory", an AI omnicide story
A mundane story where AI development ends up killing everyone.
Oct 2, 2025
•
Gabe
12
12
September 2025
We are likely in an AI overhang, and this is bad.
How unknown capabilities in AI models may undermine most AI safety frameworks.
Sep 23, 2025
•
Gabe
25
4
1
How people politically confront the Modern Eldritch
A follow-up to "The Eldritch in the 21st century"
Sep 18, 2025
•
Gabe
13
Redistribution Shift: The Hidden Cost of Redistribution
How redistribution naturally induces more demand for it and deter its own supply.
Sep 12, 2025
•
Gabe
6
4
1
The Eldritch in the 21st century
We're so much richer, smarter and full of technology. Why does it feel like everything is going wrong?
Sep 10, 2025
•
Gabe
15
8
1
Introducing MicroCommit
What is the smallest practical commitment an organisation can ask of its members?
Sep 8, 2025
•
Gabe
12
2
August 2025
The Gabian History of Mathematics
One of these times where Humanity solved a Big Problem
Aug 29, 2025
•
Gabe
21
5
1
The Fungible Threat to the Enlightenment Philosophy
About Freedom, Wealth Concentration, and the Separation of Power
Aug 21, 2025
•
Gabe
9
7
1
How to Identify Futile Moral Debates
A small framework for identifying which moral discussions are worth having
Aug 18, 2025
•
Gabe
3
4
The Formation of Unreflected Beliefs
On the fine balance between changing one's mind and getting mind-hacked.
Aug 16, 2025
•
Gabe
15
3
1
The Experience of Obliviousness
How unreflected beliefs cause us to durably miss obvious things.
Aug 14, 2025
•
Gabe
6
1
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